Civil Engineering MCQAE Level Civil Engineering

The probability that a flood of return period T will be equalled or exceeded at least once in n years is:

HydrologyWater Resources Engineering and IrrigationHARD

Choose the correct answer

A

n/T only for all cases

B

(1 - 1/T)^n

C

T/n

D

1 - (1 - 1/T)^n

Correct Answer

D. 1 - (1 - 1/T)^n

Why is this the answer?

Annual exceedance probability is 1/T; the risk over n independent years is 1 - (1 - 1/T)^n.

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